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Category Archives: duluth

Duluth, GA, Market Report, October 2010

Office building of NCR Corporation in Duluth, ...
Image via Wikipedia

Preliminary stats for Duluth, October, 2010 indicated that there were 589 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 10.5 month supply of properties.  Months of Inventory has been increasing for the last couple of months.  Sales in October were 360, compared to 63 a year earlier.  Don’t forget, though, there was a tax credit slated to expire at the end of November last year that was spurring sales.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 227 listings, with about a 9 month supply.  The Absorption Rate had gotten down into the high 4 month realm… and as recent as December, was in the low 5s.  In May, it was at 7.9 months and has been rising since, markedly in the last couple of months.  Sales for October were actually up this year v last year (35 v 30).

Between $200k and $400k, there are 168 listings for sale, and about 10.5 months of supply.  Sales decreased from 19 in 2009 to 14 in 2010.  Last month was a big decrease compared to previous months.  Inventory had been sliding downward, too, but rose slightly for October.

From $400k to $600k, there were 61 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 8.3 months.  While sales haven’t been super strong, they haven’t been bad for this price segment, until October.  I keep looking back at the 5.65 month absorption rate in December… but this is still one of the better performing segments in Gwinnett County.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 52 listings, with about 13 months of supply.  Sales were 0 for September, 2010 v 4 last year and 6 in October 2010 v just 1 last year..  For the three months of Aug – Oct 2010 were 12 v 8 last year.  At this level, that is significant.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 26 homes listed and approximately 19.5 months of inventory on the market.  Continuously falling inventories and increased sales are fueling the increasingly favorable Absorption Rate (it was 67.5 months in February).  However, for the last couple of months the absorption rate has been on the rise again.

Above $1m, there were 55 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 23.6 months of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates…  There were 7 sales in the Aug – Oct period this year, and 6 sales for the same time last year… but inventories have been dropping.

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently.  Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia.  It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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Duluth, GA, Market Report, September 2010

This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...
Image via Wikipedia

Preliminary stats for Duluth, September, 2010 indicated that there were 588 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 9.9 month supply of properties.  Months of Inventory has been increasing for the last couple of months.  Sales in September were 38, compared to 63 a year earlier.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 226 listings, with about a 10.6 month supply.  The Absorption Rate had gotten down into the high 4 month realm… and as recent as December, was in the low 5s.  In May, it was at 7.9 months and has been rising since, markedly in the last couple of months.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 165 listings for sale, and about 9.2 months of supply.  Sales decreased from 17 in 2009 to 9 in 2010.  That is a big decrease compared to previous months.  Inventory has been sliding downward, too.

From $400k to $600k, there were 62 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 6.9 months.  While sales haven’t been super strong, they haven’t been bad for this price segment.  I keep looking back at the 5.65 month absorption rate in December… but this is still among the best performing segments in Gwinnett County.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 51 listings, with about 8.1 months of supply.  This is amazingly strong for this price level.  However, sales were 0 for September, 2010 v 4 last year.  But, the three months of Jun-Aug 2010 were 26 v 10 last year.  At this level, that is huge.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 28 homes listed and approximately 16.8 months of inventory on the market.  Continuously falling inventories and increased sales are fueling the increasingly favorable Absorption Rate (it was 67.5 months in February)

Above $1m, there were 56 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 18.7 months of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates…  There were 9 sales in the Jul-Sep period this year, and 11 sales for the same time last year… but inventories have been dropping.

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently.  Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia.  It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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Duluth, GA, Market Report, August 2010

Office building of NCR Corporation in Duluth, ...
Image via Wikipedia

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently.  Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia.  It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

Preliminary stats for Duluth, August, 2010 indicated that there were 639 properties on the market. Overall, there is about an 9.2 month supply of properties, with a marked deceleration in Absorption Rate compared to last month.  However, sales in August were 71, compared to 63 a year earlier.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 242 listings, with about a 9.8 month supply.  The Absorption Rate had gotten down into the high 4 month realm… and as recent as December, was in the low 5s.  In May, it was at 7.9 months and has been rising since.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 173 listings for sale, and about 8 months of supply.  Sales increased from 16 in 2009 to 25 in 2010.  Inventory has been sliding downward, too.

From $400k to $600k, there were 69 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 8.3 months.  While sales haven’t been super strong, they haven’t been bad for this price segment.  I keep looking back at the 5.65 month absorption rate in December…

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 60 listings, with about 6.9 months of supply.  This is amazingly strong for this price level.  Sales were 6 for August, 2010 v 3 last year.  But, the three months of Jun-Aug 2010 were 26 v 10 last year.  At this level, that is huge.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 34 homes listed and approximately 11.3 months of inventory on the market.  Reduced inventories and increased sales are fueling the increasingly favorable Absorption Rate (it was 67.5 months in February)

Above $1m, there were 61 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 20.3 months of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates…  There were 9 sales in the Jun-Aug period this year, and 16 sales for the same time last year… but inventories have been dropping.

I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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This is what I feared… Gwinnett Market Report – July, 2010

DSCN0559
Image by lane.bailey via Flickr

I have been kind of expecting this, but of course it will take a couple of months to confirm…

The Tax Credit did not kick the Gwinnett Market into gear…

Instead, its expiration killed sales.  Looking over the last few months of sales we see that for 2010, sales were (compared to 2009):

  • January – down 10.9%
  • February – up 1.7%
  • March – up 10.1%
  • April – up 14.1%
  • May – up 17.3%
  • June – down 0.8%
  • July – down 26.2%

As we look over these numbers, there are a few things to keep in mind…  To start with, the July numbers will likely get a little better.  Although sales are supposed to be reported within 48 hours of closing, there are always stragglers that take a few weeks to make it into the reports.  Contracts had to be written by April 30th, and sales here usually only take 30-45 days to close.  That would be why sales were up in May, but not in June… those sales were likely closed.  I didn’t see a lot of buyers playing chicken with the contract dates.

All isn’t doom and gloom…  Inventories are down a bit from last year.  This is helping to keep the absorption rates at a reasonable level.  But they are still decelerating.

Look for specific reports over the next couple of weeks for Lilburn, Lawrenceville, Duluth, Suwanee, Sugar Hill, Buford and Norcross.

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Occupational Hazard…

There are a few occupational hazards we real estate agents face… moldy foreclosures, rotted floors that we can fall through, angry undisclosed dogs, getting locked out of a house on the back deck 40′ off the ground (don’t ask).  But there is something even more dangerous…

Houses we really like… really, really like.  Ones that we can afford…

As a real estate agent, I look at a lot of houses.  Some of them are amazingly cool.  But, I’m not dropping half a million bucks on a house.  Those aren’t so dangerous…  Not to say that I don’t love the media rooms, pubs on the terrace level and the 10 car garages… especially the 10 car garages… but those aren’t that dangerous, because they are out of MY operating range.

And then…

So, I was out checking out some new cool garage homes in Gwinnett County, and I ran across this one.  I shot a few videos to use in ‘discussions’ with my wife.  Seriously, I didn’t shoot these to show the world, just one person.

The problem is that we don’t want to change schools yet…  So, unless this house is hanging out on the market in 8 months, the best I can hope for is to find it a good owner.

Not bad for about $160k…

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