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Sugar Hill, GA, Market Report, January 2012

Friday, 17 February 2012 08:00
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Market stats for Sugar Hill, GA , January, 2012 indicates that there are 159 homes on the market.  Overall, there is about an 5.9 month supply.  There were 20 sales, compared to 31 last month and 15 last January.  The Absorption Rate (AR) increase, largely due to the decrease in sales.

For Sugar Hill homes priced under $200k, there are 120 listings, with about 5.1 months supply.  There were 18 sales this January, significantly than last year for the same time (12).  But, last month there were 24 sales.  Inventories have been fluid, rising and falling.  Normally, this time of year we see inventories leveling out, but this month there was a slight increase.

Sugar Hill Listings between $200k and $400k, there are 37 listings for sale, and about 10.1 months of supply.  Last January there was an 11.3 month supply.  Last January there were 3 sales, this year there were 2.  Last month had 7 sales.

For listings in the $400k to $600k range, there is 1 home on the market.  The absorption rate is around 1 months, but with 3 sales in November (and those being the only sales since July), it is tough to calculate accurately.  Obviously, a sale or two could make a BIG difference.  I still hope to see some consistent activity in this segment.

In the $600k to $800k, $800k to $1m and Above $1m (combined), the sales are too inconsistent to have a solid read on, but there is only 1 home listed for sale in that price range. No sales have been recorded in the last 2+ years.

Sugar Hill, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 11,399, but that only included the area inside the city limits. The name comes from a bag of Sugar that spilled on a hill while in transit between Cumming and the railroad in Buford. And while it is actually a big market, it is in the shadows of Lawrenceville, Duluth and Suwanee… which all are nearby. That also makes it a great location, as it is close to everything that Gwinnett County, GA has to offer.

I have a page dedicated to Sugar Hill Market Data.

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Lilburn, GA Market Report, January 2012

Monday, 13 February 2012 08:00
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Market stats for Lilburn, GA, January, 2012, indicates that there were 360 properties on the market (as of January 30th).  Overall, there was about an 7.7 month supply of properties and 46 properties that closed (sold) in January.  It was an increase from last year’s sales (35) but a decrease from December, 2011 (54 sales).  The Absorption Rate notched up a bit. Lilburn had been among the weakest of Gwinnett County, GA, cities I track.  But, at 7.66 months of inventory, it isn’t nearly as bad as it had been just a few months ago (14.35 months of inventory in Feb, 2011, for example), nor as good as the 7.35 last month.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 267 listings, with about an 6.4 month supply with 46 sales.  This represents most of the sales in the market area.  Sales increased slightly from last month (43), and were also up dramatically from last year (26).  While the Absorption Rate isn’t as low as many other areas, sales are strong, and I’m still pulling for a comeback for Lilburn.  December was back on track.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 84 listings for sale, and about 15.8 months of supply. This segment had been quite weak for months, and has stalled a little. There were 0 sales compared to 9 last year. This segment really needs to get back into single digit A/Rs … but, Lilburn has never been seen as a luxury market. But the decrease in listings has really helped. I’m still not as confident about this portion of the Lilburn market coming back quite yet…

From $400k to $600k, there are just 3 homes on the market. The absorption rate is 6.0 months (one year average). There were 2 sales in March, which really turned the segment around, followed by 1 sale for April. May posted 2 sales, 1 sale in June, 2 in July and none since.

From $600k to $800k, $800k to $1M and Above $1M, there are 5 listings (combined), but too few sales to have any sort of reliable number of months of inventory. March posted the first sale since August, 2010. It was in the $600-$800k range. One of the listings is above $1M and one between $800k and $1M, and there is no market activity in the last 12 months for those ranges…

Lilburn is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 11,307 people in Lilburn, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County. It was incorporated in 1910. Lilburn is home to Parkview High School, and also has students that the Brookwood, Berkmar and Meadowcreek clusters. It is also home to Killian Hill Christian School, Providence Chrisian Academy, St. John Neumann Catholic School and Parkview Christian School. Possibly the most famous resident of Lilburn is General Beauregard Lee, a groundhog with a better winter prediction record that Puxatawnee Phil up in PA. Dominique Wilkins, formerly of the Atlanta Hawks also lives in Lilburn.

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I have a page dedicated to Lilburn Market Data.

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Suwanee, GA, Market Report, January 2012

Friday, 10 February 2012 08:00
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Market stats for Suwanee, GA, January, 2012 indicate that there are 440 properties on the market (down from 468 last month).  Overall, there is about an 7.9 month supply of properties (up from 6.7 last month).  January had 40 sales. Compared to January, 2011 (35), this year was a stronger.  Inventory was down compared to 2011 (582).  The last six months have been very strong, but that comes on a very weak June and just average sales for a couple of prior months.  January was much weaker than December, but still much stronger than the previous year.  It will be interesting to see if the strength carries through next month.

In the Under $200k arena, there are 131 listings in Suwanee, GA, with about a 4.4 month supply (152 and 4.0, respectively last year).  This January’s sales were ok, at 17 (15 last year).  This is definitely the strongest price segment in Suwanee.  December’s sales were at 46, and while January was up against the previous year, it wasn’t looking so hot month to month.  We’ll have to see what February brings.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 201 listings for sale (249 last year), and 8.4 months of supply.  Sales in January, 2012 were 16 (21 in December), compared with 16 for the same period in 2011.  Sales have been bouncing between very strong and average for the last few months.  I’d like to see some consistency around 35-40 sales for the next couple of months.  This shouldn’t be a “peaky” market/price segment.  Unlike most of the county, this is the largest price segment in the area, and its direction plays a major part in how the area looks.  Could be getting better… but not the last few months.

From $400k to $600k, there are 60 homes on the market.  The absorption rate is at 12.0 months (9.8 in December).  There were 5 sales in January (6 in December)… up by 3 compared to last January.  Looking at the three month average, there were 15 sales this year and 10 for the same period last year.  This segment had gotten dramatically stronger in the last couple of months, but like the next lower price segment, dropped off heavily this month.  We should be looking at close to 12 sales for February… I was hoping (but not expecting) 10 for January.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 17 listings, with about a 51 month supply (same as last month).  Sales at this level are not consistent, but there were 0 this month (0 last month).  Looking at one month makes the numbers jump around.  For the last three months, sales were 0…  For the same time last year, the sales were 3.  With the huge decrease in listings over the last couple of months, I was looking for this to become one of the strongest $600k-$800k area in the county.  But until I see 2-3 sales a month on average, I can’t call this one strong.

The range from $800k to $1m, there are 6 homes listed and 18 months of inventory on the market. There were only 4 sales at this price level last year (1 in April, 2 in July and 1 in August) . This is a tough segment to try to sell in right now, but if inventory stays low, it won’t be quite as rough. But there still needs to be some sales activity.

In Suwanee, GA, Above $1m, there are 25 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 25 months of inventory, but because of the smaller numbers of sales, this could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales (only 1 sale for October, 0 for November, 1 for December and 2 for January). In this segment, we should be seeing reduced inventories… There were 24 homes listed in this segment at this time last year.

Suwanee, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett, Forsyth and (just a little bit) in Fulton Counties. The population is 2000 was 8,725, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census. Money Magazine rated Suwanee in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live” in 2007, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. Recently, the City of Suwanee has revamped their old town, adding a large park with a bandshell, condos, town homes and small businesses. It is also home to North Gwinnett High School, Peachtree Ridge and Collins Hill. I have a page dedicated to Suwanee Market Data.

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Norcross, GA, Market Report, December 2011

Monday, 06 February 2012 08:00
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Market stats for Norcross GA, December, 2011 indicate that there were 248 properties on the market.  Overall, there is about a 4.6 month supply of properties.  This year has been very strong so far… although April and May weren’t that strong (April was below last year)… it hasn’t slowed much, if at all.  December saw 52 sales, above the 35 for December, 2010, and flat with the 52 for November.  This is one of the few market areas in Gwinnett to post six strong months in a row.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 143 listings, with about 3.1 month supply.  Sales are up ever so slightly from last month but WAY up from a year ago in this segment, which is the main driver of sales in this area (46 v 25 in Dec10 & 45 Nov11).  For the last seven months, the AR has been tilted in favor of sellers.  This still looks like one of the strongest price/area segment in Gwinnett County, GA.  At barely over 3 month A/R, this is VERY strong for sellers.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 73 listings for sale, and about 12.9 months of supply.  This segment isn’t as weak as it had been over the last several months, and is continuing to build strength.  The 4 sales were dramatically down compared to last year’s 7 sales, but flat from last month’s 4 sales.  Even though it isn’t gangbusters, it is certainly better than the 28 months of inventory we had in December, 2010.

From $400k to $600k, there were 24 homes on the market.  The Absorption Rate is around 10.3 months.  The AR had been dropping for months, then shot WAY up in June.  It has been working down slowly since.  December’s 2 sales were flat from 2 the month before but down from last year’s 3 sales.  Basically, just like last month.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 4 listings on the market.  Inventories doubled compared to last year.  The Absorption Rate is at 12 months of inventory… but with only 4 sales in 2010 and 4 sales in 2011, the last in November (0 in December), obviously it is easy to bump one way or the other.  One reason for the strong looking Absorption Rate last month was that there were so few listings.

The range from $800k to $1m, there was 1 home listed on the market and no sales… seemingly forever.

Above $1m, there were 4 properties listed.  But because of the smaller numbers of sales, the absorption rate could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales.  The volatile Absorption Rate is at 36 months of inventory.

Norcross, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 8,410 but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it has seen tremendous growth since that census. The City of Norcross revamped their old town a long time ago, and it has served as a model for other towns in the area. It is also home to Meadow Creek and Norcross High Schools. One of the things that Norcross is known for locally is the beautiful older homes in the downtown area. They have maintained their historic flair quite successfully.

I have a page dedicated to Norcross Market Data.

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Duluth, GA, Market Report, December 2011

Friday, 03 February 2012 08:00
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Preliminary stats for Duluth, December, 2011 indicated that there were 445 properties on the market.  Overall, there is about an 7.9 month supply of properties.  Sales in December were 57, slightly down from 66 a year earlier.  But, sales were slightly up compared to the prior month (51).  Duluth had been slightly leading Gwinnett County as a whole, but not so much over the last three months.

In the Under $200k arena, there were 179 listings in Duluth, GA, with about a 5.0 month supply.   The Absorption Rate for October, was 3.55.   Sales in December were up this year v last year (35 v 31), and up compared to last month (28).  The Absorption Rate (A/R) is rocking most of the county… but it has decelerated again this month, ever so slightly.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 119 listings for sale, and about 10.5 months of supply.  Absorption rates have similarly risen, dropped and then risen again, but have been moving mostly the wrong way (up) since August.  Sales were down compared to December, 2010 (14 v 19) but well up compared to last month (8).  Duluth is a market that favors luxury, but this segment is not doing that well…

From $400k to $600k, there were 48 homes on the market.  The Absorption Rate was around 9.0 months.  December brought in 5 sales.  There were 7 last year and 8 last month.  As with much of the county, the recovery that seems to be solidifying at the lower end of the price strata is much weaker here.  Duluth is a luxury centric market, and it is doing better than the rest of Gwinnett County, GA, but the segment is still kind of weak, but it’s better than last month.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 41 listings, with about 12.3 months of supply.  Sales were 2 for December… 4 for December last year.  Month to month sales were down (2 v 5).  Last month was pretty good, but I haven’t seen three consecutive months with strong sales for a while.  Since Duluth does favor luxury sales, it looks better than the rest of the County.

In Duluth, GA, from $800k to $1m, there were 22 homes listed and approximately 66 months of inventory on the market.  The 0 sales recorded for December was beaten by last year’s 3 and down from the 1 from last month.  Sales haven’t been moving much for the last couple of months, but 1 sale for the last3 months has killed the 3 month average A/R.  It isn’t as weak as that suggests… at least I hope it isn’t.

Above $1m, there were 36 properties listed.  The current absorption rate indicated about 54 months of inventory.  A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates.  There were 2 sales in the Oct-Dec period this year, and 4 for the same time last year.  Fall was weak last year, but we should be posting four sales a month here instead of the 1 we got.

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently. Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the former Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

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I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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