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Buford, GA, Market Report, January 2012

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Market stats for Buford, GA, January, 2012 indicate that there were 417 properties on the market.  Overall, there was about an 7.0 month supply of properties (Absorption Rate or A/R).  There were 52 sales for January, way down from 83 last month but strikingly up from the 27 sales last January (2011).  It isn’t the strongest market in Gwinnett, but it is much better than it has been.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 246 listings, with a 5.9 month supply.  This is the largest price segment in this market area, so strength here usually equals strength across the whole local market area.  Sales were down from last month (42 v 53), but huge compared to last year (18 sales in January, 2011).  But, the A/R is under the 6 months that would be considered fairly balanced… pointing towards a slight seller’s market.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 126 listings for sale, and about 8.6 months of supply.  The 8 sales recorded were well down from the 25 from last month and up a bit from the 6 sales last year for January.  This had been one of the weaker segments in the county, but has improved dramatically and at current A/Rs, it is one of the stronger $200k-$400k segments in the county.

From $400k to $600k, there were 24 homes on the market.  The absorption rate is 9.0 Months.  There have been 8 sales in the last 3 months (3 sales for November, 4 sales for December and 1 for January).  When the market is rolling, there should be 5-7 sales a month during this part of the year.  September was pretty strong, and but we didn’t have the follow-up the next two months I was looking for…  December is back in the right direction, and the drop in listings certainly helps.  January certainly wasn’t the month to call a recovery.  Just for comparison, there were 5 sales in the Nov.-Jan. period in 2010/2011.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 6 listings.  Absorption Rate is 9 months… but it jumps around a lot.  Sales in this range are pretty sporadic, but steady when looking at the long-term.  The drop in inventory over the last few months from 14 homes to 6 homes has made things look less slow… but there were 4 sales in this segment last year… and 1 sale in January.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 5 homes listed.  But, with no sales in the last year (2011), obviously trends are hardly definable.  Listings are down, but sales aren’t following through.

Above $1m, there were 10 properties listed.  The last sale in the segment was in April… of 2009…and then there was May… and 2 sales in June. So, we have 40 months of inventory.  I hope, but am not expecting, sales to be more consistent.

Buford, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett and Hall Counties.  The population is 2000 was 10,668, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census.  Buford is home to Lake Lanier, one of Georgia’s premiere recreational areas, and Lake Lanier Islands.  Recently, the City of Buford has revamped their old town.  It is also home to Buford (Buford City Schools aren’t a part of Gwinnett County Schools), Mill Creek, Mountain View and Lanier High School (Lanier will open for the 2010-11 school year).

I have a page dedicated to Buford Market Data.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

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Sugar Hill, GA, Market Report, January 2012

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Market stats for Sugar Hill, GA , January, 2012 indicates that there are 159 homes on the market.  Overall, there is about an 5.9 month supply.  There were 20 sales, compared to 31 last month and 15 last January.  The Absorption Rate (AR) increase, largely due to the decrease in sales.

For Sugar Hill homes priced under $200k, there are 120 listings, with about 5.1 months supply.  There were 18 sales this January, significantly than last year for the same time (12).  But, last month there were 24 sales.  Inventories have been fluid, rising and falling.  Normally, this time of year we see inventories leveling out, but this month there was a slight increase.

Sugar Hill Listings between $200k and $400k, there are 37 listings for sale, and about 10.1 months of supply.  Last January there was an 11.3 month supply.  Last January there were 3 sales, this year there were 2.  Last month had 7 sales.

For listings in the $400k to $600k range, there is 1 home on the market.  The absorption rate is around 1 months, but with 3 sales in November (and those being the only sales since July), it is tough to calculate accurately.  Obviously, a sale or two could make a BIG difference.  I still hope to see some consistent activity in this segment.

In the $600k to $800k, $800k to $1m and Above $1m (combined), the sales are too inconsistent to have a solid read on, but there is only 1 home listed for sale in that price range. No sales have been recorded in the last 2+ years.

Sugar Hill, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 11,399, but that only included the area inside the city limits. The name comes from a bag of Sugar that spilled on a hill while in transit between Cumming and the railroad in Buford. And while it is actually a big market, it is in the shadows of Lawrenceville, Duluth and Suwanee… which all are nearby. That also makes it a great location, as it is close to everything that Gwinnett County, GA has to offer.

I have a page dedicated to Sugar Hill Market Data.

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Lilburn, GA Market Report, January 2012

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Market stats for Lilburn, GA, January, 2012, indicates that there were 360 properties on the market (as of January 30th).  Overall, there was about an 7.7 month supply of properties and 46 properties that closed (sold) in January.  It was an increase from last year’s sales (35) but a decrease from December, 2011 (54 sales).  The Absorption Rate notched up a bit. Lilburn had been among the weakest of Gwinnett County, GA, cities I track.  But, at 7.66 months of inventory, it isn’t nearly as bad as it had been just a few months ago (14.35 months of inventory in Feb, 2011, for example), nor as good as the 7.35 last month.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 267 listings, with about an 6.4 month supply with 46 sales.  This represents most of the sales in the market area.  Sales increased slightly from last month (43), and were also up dramatically from last year (26).  While the Absorption Rate isn’t as low as many other areas, sales are strong, and I’m still pulling for a comeback for Lilburn.  December was back on track.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 84 listings for sale, and about 15.8 months of supply. This segment had been quite weak for months, and has stalled a little. There were 0 sales compared to 9 last year. This segment really needs to get back into single digit A/Rs … but, Lilburn has never been seen as a luxury market. But the decrease in listings has really helped. I’m still not as confident about this portion of the Lilburn market coming back quite yet…

From $400k to $600k, there are just 3 homes on the market. The absorption rate is 6.0 months (one year average). There were 2 sales in March, which really turned the segment around, followed by 1 sale for April. May posted 2 sales, 1 sale in June, 2 in July and none since.

From $600k to $800k, $800k to $1M and Above $1M, there are 5 listings (combined), but too few sales to have any sort of reliable number of months of inventory. March posted the first sale since August, 2010. It was in the $600-$800k range. One of the listings is above $1M and one between $800k and $1M, and there is no market activity in the last 12 months for those ranges…

Lilburn is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 11,307 people in Lilburn, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County. It was incorporated in 1910. Lilburn is home to Parkview High School, and also has students that the Brookwood, Berkmar and Meadowcreek clusters. It is also home to Killian Hill Christian School, Providence Chrisian Academy, St. John Neumann Catholic School and Parkview Christian School. Possibly the most famous resident of Lilburn is General Beauregard Lee, a groundhog with a better winter prediction record that Puxatawnee Phil up in PA. Dominique Wilkins, formerly of the Atlanta Hawks also lives in Lilburn.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

I have a page dedicated to Lilburn Market Data.

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Norcross, GA, Market Report, December 2011

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Market stats for Norcross GA, December, 2011 indicate that there were 248 properties on the market.  Overall, there is about a 4.6 month supply of properties.  This year has been very strong so far… although April and May weren’t that strong (April was below last year)… it hasn’t slowed much, if at all.  December saw 52 sales, above the 35 for December, 2010, and flat with the 52 for November.  This is one of the few market areas in Gwinnett to post six strong months in a row.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 143 listings, with about 3.1 month supply.  Sales are up ever so slightly from last month but WAY up from a year ago in this segment, which is the main driver of sales in this area (46 v 25 in Dec10 & 45 Nov11).  For the last seven months, the AR has been tilted in favor of sellers.  This still looks like one of the strongest price/area segment in Gwinnett County, GA.  At barely over 3 month A/R, this is VERY strong for sellers.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 73 listings for sale, and about 12.9 months of supply.  This segment isn’t as weak as it had been over the last several months, and is continuing to build strength.  The 4 sales were dramatically down compared to last year’s 7 sales, but flat from last month’s 4 sales.  Even though it isn’t gangbusters, it is certainly better than the 28 months of inventory we had in December, 2010.

From $400k to $600k, there were 24 homes on the market.  The Absorption Rate is around 10.3 months.  The AR had been dropping for months, then shot WAY up in June.  It has been working down slowly since.  December’s 2 sales were flat from 2 the month before but down from last year’s 3 sales.  Basically, just like last month.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 4 listings on the market.  Inventories doubled compared to last year.  The Absorption Rate is at 12 months of inventory… but with only 4 sales in 2010 and 4 sales in 2011, the last in November (0 in December), obviously it is easy to bump one way or the other.  One reason for the strong looking Absorption Rate last month was that there were so few listings.

The range from $800k to $1m, there was 1 home listed on the market and no sales… seemingly forever.

Above $1m, there were 4 properties listed.  But because of the smaller numbers of sales, the absorption rate could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales.  The volatile Absorption Rate is at 36 months of inventory.

Norcross, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 8,410 but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it has seen tremendous growth since that census. The City of Norcross revamped their old town a long time ago, and it has served as a model for other towns in the area. It is also home to Meadow Creek and Norcross High Schools. One of the things that Norcross is known for locally is the beautiful older homes in the downtown area. They have maintained their historic flair quite successfully.

I have a page dedicated to Norcross Market Data.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

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Lawrenceville, GA Market Report, December 2011

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Market stats for Lawrenceville, GA, December, 2011, indicate that there were 1200 properties on the market.  Overall, there was about a 4.7 month supply of properties. In 2010, sales for December were at 176, so 264 sales was a excellent increase, year over year.  Coupled with the decrease in inventory, things are looking great.  Normally they start weakening in September, but we are rolling right along… even better than last month (233 sales).

For Lawrenceville, GA, Homes Under $200k, there are 1014 listings, with about a 4.3 month supply of homes.  Sales were way up from December 2010 (247 v 152).  This segment is easily the lion’s share of sales for the area.  With the 4.28 month A/R, it is solidly in Seller’s Market territory.  The big drop in Absorption Rate (AR) is due to strong sales, coupled with lower listing inventories.  In September I was hoping that October would be a follow up… and it was VERY much is what I was looking for… November reinforced that and December rocked it out.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 164 listings for sale, and about 11.2 months of supply.  Oddly, this had one of the weaker segments in the county, now it’s mid-pack.   The 16 sales for December, 2011 were down from the 23 from last year.  They were up slightly from the 13 sales last month.  Sales should have been closer to 25 units for December.  We are still solidly in Buyer’s Market territory here.

From $400k to $600k, there are 17 homes on the market.  The absorption rate is around 10.2 months.  However, with the level of sales in this segment, a couple of sales added or subtracted can have a HUGE impact.  There were 0 sales for December, the Absorption Rate has dropped from 78 months in June, through good, but sporadic sales.  There were 1 sale in December, 2010.  This is acting like a luxury market and the A/R is jumping all over the place… with just a few sales (A/R was 7.1 last month).  While the long term trend is looking better, it is still pretty choppy.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 4 listings, with about 12 months of supply, again.  As with the next lower priced segment, a couple of sales makes a big difference and there was only 1 sale in December.   There were only 6 sales at this level in all of 2011. 

Between $800k and $1M, and Above $1M there are 1 home listed (combined) and not enough sales data to give an accurate absorption rate.  There has only been one sale in this range in the last 3 years (Aug, 2010), according to FMLS.

Lawrenceville is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta.  As of the 2000 Census, there were 22,937 people in Lawrenceville, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County (2008 estimates from the Census Bureau peg population around 29,000).  It was incorporated in 1821. Lawrenceville is home to Central Gwinnett High School, and also has students that the Mountain View and Archer clusters.  It is also home to Gwinnett Technical College and Georgia Gwinnett College.  Another recent addition to Lawrenceville is that it is home to the Gwinnett Braves, playing at the Gwinnett Stadium on GA20 between I-85 and GA316.  Possibly the most famous resident of Lawrenceville was Oliver Hardy. As a small boy he lived in Lawrenceville with his parents for a short time.  Lawrenceville was also home to Junior Samples.  Some of its other residents included Jeff Francouer, Brian McCann and Jennifer Ferrin.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

I have a page dedicated to Lawrenceville Market Data.

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