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Tag Archives: lawrenceville

How to Read a Market Report…

A lot of real estate agents write them.  Some have a lot of information, others… not so much.  Some are well laid out and go past the numbers into interpretation.  Others have plenty of numbers, but they don’t even give any sort of scale to use for reference.

I try to give mine a sense of scale, as well as interpret what the numbers mean.  I also wait to post them… until the numbers are fairly solid (and even a few weeks later, the numbers might change a little bit…), but not so long as to make the report outdated as it is published.  Below is an excerpt from one of my market reports:

Market stats for Suwanee, GA, August, 2011 indicate that there are 593 properties on the market (down from 612 last month). Overall, there is about an 7.3 month supply of properties (down from 7.4 last month). August had 83 sales. Compared to 2010 (55), that was VERY strong. Inventory was down, as well, compared to 2010 (636).  The last two months have been very strong, but that comes on a very weak June and just average sales for a couple of prior months.  Obviously, I’d like to see continued strength here.

So, let’s break it down.

  • 593 Properties… also showing the number of properties on the market the previous month.  Is it going up or down?  Which way SHOULD it be moving?
  • 7.3 month supply…  This is the Absorption Rate.  Here is a whole post explaining absorption rates, what they are and what they mean.  Balanced, in most real estate segments, is about 6.  Higher is a buyer’s market, lower is a seller’s market.  I also generally show the level of the previous month.
  • 83 sales…  and to put it in perspective, we also want to know how many sales there were last month AND how many for the same month last year.  Sometimes, in slower segments, we might look at the last three months of sales (combined) and compare those with the previous year.  For low volume segments, that will be a number that doesn’t jump all over as much and will give a better idea of market direction and strength.
  • Interpretation & Prediction…  I try to do a little of this for most segments of the market.  I track 7 different postal cities (not the city limits, but the mailing addresses) and each in 6 different price ranges.  That makes for a LOT of predictions and interpretation…  But I try to give what I think of each one… assuming there is enough data to get an idea of what is going on.
  • Something graphical…  My newest tool is a graphical representation (from Zillow) showing a history of the region.  Even more than the pinpoint data of the report, the simple graph gives the aerial view of what is happening.  However, it needs to be kept in perspective…  The beginnings of trend are pretty hard to spot on a long-term graph.

Hopefully this will help you get the most from my market reports…

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

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Lawrenceville, GA Market Report, August 2011

This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...

Image via Wikipedia

Market stats for Lawrenceville, August, 2011, indicate that there were 1424 properties on the market. Overall, there was about a 5.3 month supply of properties. In 2010, sales for August were at 180, so 269 sales was a pretty good increase, year over year. Coupled with the solid decrease in inventory, things are looking great. Normally at this time of year we should be seeing strong sales, but they start weakening in September.

For Lawrenceville, GA, Homes Under $200k, there are 1208 listings, with about an 4.9 month supply of homes. Sales were way up from August 2010 (250 v 155). This segment is easily the lion’s share of sales for the area.  With the 4.9 month A/R, it is solidly in Seller’s Market territory.  The big drop in Absorption Rate (AR) is due to strong sales, coupled with slightly lower inventories.  I will be looking for a strong follow-up, though.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 182 listings for sale, and about 10.1 months of supply. Oddly, this was one of the weaker segments in the county, again. With an strong at the segment down was, this one was weak.  The 19 sales for August, 2011 were down from the 24 from last year. Sales should have been closer to 25 or 30 units for August.  We are still solidly in Buyer’s Market territory, here.

From $400k to $600k, there are 28 homes on the market. The absorption rate is around 14 months. However, with the level of sales in this segment, a couple of sales added or subtracted can have a HUGE impact.  July saw 5 sales, so even though there were 0 sales for August, the Absorption Rate has dropped from 78 months in June.  There were also 0 sales in August, 2010.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 5 listings, with about 15 months of supply.  As with the next lower priced segment, a couple of sales makes a big difference and there was only 1 sale in the last three months.  The only saving grace is low inventory. 

Between $800k and $1M, and Above $1M there is 1 home listed (combined) and not enough sales data to give an accurate absorption rate. There has only been one sale in this range in the last 3 years (Aug, 2010), according to FMLS.

Lawrenceville is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 22,937 people in Lawrenceville, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County (2008 estimates from the Census Bureau peg population around 29,000). It was incorporated in 1821. Lawrenceville is home to Central Gwinnett High School, and also has students that the Mountain View and Archer clusters. It is also home to Gwinnett Technical College and Georgia Gwinnett College. Another recent addition to Lawrenceville is that it is home to the Gwinnett Braves, playing at the Gwinnett Stadium on GA20 between I-85 and GA316. Possibly the most famous resident of Lawrenceville was Oliver Hardy. As a small boy he lived in Lawrenceville with his parents for a short time. Lawrenceville was also home to Junior Samples. Some of its other residents included Jeff Francouer, Brian McCann and Jennifer Ferrin.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

I have a page dedicated to Lawrenceville Market Data.

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Lawrenceville, GA Market Report, June 2011

Gwinnett County Historic Courthouse, Lawrencev...

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Market stats for Lawrenceville, June, 2011, indicate that there were 1548 properties on the market. Overall, there was about a 6.05 month supply of properties. In 2010, sales for June were at 222, so 276 sales was a pretty good increase, year over year.  Coupled with the slight decrease in inventory, things are looking up.  Normally at this time of year we should be seeing healthy increases in month to month sales.

For Lawrenceville, GA, Homes Under $200k, there are 1309 listings, with about an 5.5 month supply of homes.  Sales were way up from June 2010 (254 v 192).  This segment is easily the lion’s share of sales for the area.  Last month this was one of the strongest price/area segments in Gwinnett County.  This month it is strong, but not AS strong.  The big drop in Absorption Rate (AR) is due to strong sales, coupled with slightly lower inventories.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 205 listings for sale, and about 10.8 months of supply.  Oddly, this was one of the weakest segments in the county, again.  The 21 sales for June, 2011 were down from the 28 from June last year.  Sales should have been closer to 30 (if not 40) units for June, and I’d like to see over 30 for July.

From $400k to $600k, there are 26 homes on the market. The absorption rate is around 78 months.  However, with the level of sales in this segment, a couple of sales added or subtracted can have a HUGE impact.  Case in point is that we went from a 12 month AR to a 78 month AR because of a lack of sales for the last 3 months (there was 1 sale in June).  Just 6 months ago there was 87 months of inventory, though…

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 5 listings, with about 10 months of supply. As with the next lower priced segment, a couple of sales makes a big difference and there was only 1 sale in the last four months.  I was hoping for 2 sales in June… and there were none.  It has been quite a while since sales were strong here… the only saving grace is low inventory.

Between $800k and $1M, and Above $1M there are 3 homes listed (combined) and not enough sales data to give an accurate absorption rate. There has only been one sale in this range in the last 2 years (Aug, 2010), according to FMLS.

Lawrenceville is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 22,937 people in Lawrenceville, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County (2008 estimates from the Census Bureau peg population around 29,000). It was incorporated in 1821. Lawrenceville is home to Central Gwinnett High School, and also has students that the Mountain View and Archer clusters. It is also home to Gwinnett Technical College and Georgia Gwinnett College. Another recent addition to Lawrenceville is that it is home to the Gwinnett Braves, playing at the Gwinnett Stadium on GA20 between I-85 and GA316. Possibly the most famous resident of Lawrenceville was Oliver Hardy. As a small boy he lived in Lawrenceville with his parents for a short time. Lawrenceville was also home to Junior Samples. Some of its other residents included Jeff Francouer, Brian McCann and Jennifer Ferrin.

I have a page dedicated to Lawrenceville Market Data.

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Lawrenceville, GA Market Report, May 2011

This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...

Image via Wikipedia

Market stats for Lawrenceville, May, 2011, indicate that there are 1573 properties on the market. Overall, there is about a 6.5 month supply of properties. In 2010, sales for May were at 215, so 262 sales is a pretty good increase, year over year.  Coupled with the slight decrease in inventory, things are looking up.  Normally at this time of year we should be seeing healthy increases in month to month sales.

For Lawrenceville, GA, Homes Under $200k, there are 1340 listings, with about an 6 month supply of homes.  Sales were way up from May 2010 (246 v 194).  This segment is easily the lion’s share of sales for the area.  Last month this was just a mid-pack price/area segment in Gwinnett County, but this month it is one of the strongest.  The big drop in Absorption Rate (AR) is due to strong sales, coupled with slightly lower inventories.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 198 listings for sale, and about 11.4 months of supply.  Oddly, this was one of the weakest segments in the county.  The 16 sales for May, 2011 were down from the 20 from May last year.  Sales should have been closer to 30 units for May, and I’d like to see over 30 for June.

From $400k to $600k, there are 28 homes on the market. The absorption rate is around 42 months.  However, with the level of sales in this segment, a couple of sales added or subtracted can have a HUGE impact.  Case in point is that we went from a 12 month AR to a 42 month AR because of a lack of sales for the last 2 months.  Just 5 months ago there was 87 months of inventory, though…

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 4 listings, with about 12 months of supply. As with the next lower priced segment, a couple of sales makes a big difference and there was only 1 sale in the last three months.  I was looking for 2 sales in May… and there were none.  It has been quite a while since sales were strong here… the only saving grace is low inventory.

Between $800k and $1M, and Above $1M there are 3 homes listed (combined) and not enough sales data to give an accurate absorption rate. There has only been one sale in this range in the last 2 years (Aug, 2010), according to FMLS.

Lawrenceville is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 22,937 people in Lawrenceville, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County (2008 estimates from the Census Bureau peg population around 29,000). It was incorporated in 1821. Lawrenceville is home to Central Gwinnett High School, and also has students that the Mountain View and Archer clusters. It is also home to Gwinnett Technical College and Georgia Gwinnett College. Another recent addition to Lawrenceville is that it is home to the Gwinnett Braves, playing at the Gwinnett Stadium on GA20 between I-85 and GA316. Possibly the most famous resident of Lawrenceville was Oliver Hardy. As a small boy he lived in Lawrenceville with his parents for a short time. Lawrenceville was also home to Junior Samples. Some of its other residents included Jeff Francouer, Brian McCann and Jennifer Ferrin.

I have a page dedicated to Lawrenceville Market Data.

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The Gwinnett County Market is a Little Weird Right Now…

DSCN0561
Image by lane.bailey via Flickr

I have been pulling Gwinnett County Real Estate Market Data, and I’m not done with it yet.  But, I have been seeing a few things.

  • Listings are down markedly from where they would normally be.  This can be either a positive or negative, depending on your outlook.
    • On the Plus Side, fewer listings means that Absorption Rates are better.  There is less inventory to get sold… it tilts the table back toward sellers.  It has been largely tilted toward buyers for quite a while.
    • On the Minus Side, it shows that there is pessimism in the market on the side of sellers.  They aren’t confident about the market.  That lack of confidence has carried over to buyers… sales are also slowing.
  • Sales are down… like I just mentioned.  Even though Absorption Rates make the market look better… the sales just aren’t there.
  • Results are mixed.  There are a few cities that are doing well… and there are a few price segments that are doing quite well.  Others are VERY weak.
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