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Duluth, GA, Market Report, November 2012

Friday, 22 February 2013 14:00
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Market stats for Duluth, November, 2012 indicated that there were 290 properties on the market, down 33 from last month. Overall, there was about a 3.8 month supply of properties. Sales in November were 59, way up from 61 a year earlier. Sales were way down compared to the prior month (81). Duluth had been slightly leading Gwinnett County as a whole, but not so much over the last few months. Good, but not pack leading at the moment.

In the Under $200k arena, there were 92 listings in Duluth, GA, with about a 2.1 month supply. The Absorption Rate for last November, was 4.3. Sales in November were slightly up this year v last year (34 v 28), but down compared to last month (49). The Absorption Rate (A/R) is quite a bit better than most of the county…

Between $200k and $400k, there are 96 listings for sale, and about 5.2 months of supply. Absorption rates have similarly risen, dropped and then risen again. Sales were up compared to November, 2011 (16 v 8) but down compared to last month (22). Duluth is a market that favors luxury, but this segment is not doing as well as I would have expected… but it might be constrained somewhat due to low inventories. It is still a slight Seller’s Market.

From $400k to $600k, there were 29 homes on the market. The Absorption Rate was around 5.4 months. November brought in 6 sales. There were 8 last year and 2 last month. Unlike many of the market areas, Duluth is a luxury centric market, and it is doing better than the rest of Gwinnett County, GA, especially at this price level. Usually we see the A/R soften as we move up in price, but that isn’t happening here.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 27 listings, with about 5.4 months of supply. Sales were 2 for November… 5 for last year. And month to month sales were down (2 v 4). Last month was good, but I would like to see three consecutive months with strong sales, and haven’t seen that for a while. Since Duluth does favor luxury sales, it looks better than the much of the rest of the County at this price level.

In Duluth, GA, from $800k to $1m, there were 15 homes listed and approximately 7.5 months of inventory on the market. The 0 sales for November were edged the 1 last year, and by the 1 last month. Sales haven’t been moving much for the last couple of months, but 6 sales for the last 3 months killed the same 3 months from last year (1 sales). And ten months ago the A/R was 69 months.

Above $1m, there were 31 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 13.3 months of inventory. A couple of sales at this level could have a large impact on the Absorption Rates. There were 7 sales in the Sep-Nov period this year, and 4 for the same time last year. We should be posting four sales a month here regularly… and we fell short last month but almost hit it this month with 1 sales. Last month there were 3 sales and last year there was 1 for November.

 

Duluth, GA is a suburb of Atlanta, in the heart of Gwinnett County. It actually straddles the county line and has unincorporated portions in South Forsyth County. The population of Duluth is estimated as about 26,000 people as of 2008, but this doesn’t include unincorporated areas outside the city limits, but with a Duluth mailing address. It is also home to Sugarloaf Country Club, a PGA stop until recently. Forbes Magazine rated Duluth 26th in their nationwide survey of the best places to move, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. It is also home to the Arena at Gwinnett Center (Home of the ECHL Gwinnett Gladiators) and the former Atlanta Thrashers practice facility (the Duluth Ice Forum). There is a LONG list of celebrities and athletes that call Duluth home, largely because of the country clubs and proximity to Atlanta.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

I have a page dedicated to Duluth Market Information.

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Lawrenceville, GA Market Report, November 2012

Thursday, 21 February 2013 15:00
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Market stats for Lawrenceville, GA, November, 2012, indicate that there were 775 properties on the market, down 19 from last month. Overall, there was about a 3.4 month supply of properties. In 2011, sales for November were at 233, so 208 sales was a decrease, year over year. Last month’s sales were at 247. Coupled with the decrease in inventory, things are still looking pretty good. Normally the market picks up from January through about June-August. This month we are OK, but some are arguing that constrained inventories are still holding back sales or we would be looking even better.

For Lawrenceville, GA, Homes Under $200k, there are 627 listings, with about a 3.0 month supply of homes. Sales were down from November, 2011 (189 v 216), although sales may very well be off because of constrained inventories. Last year in this segment, there were almost 1100 listings v just over 600 now. This segment is easily the lion’s share of sales for the area. With the 2.97 month A/R, it is solidly in Seller’s Market territory. The low Absorption Rate (AR) is due to very strong sales, coupled with dramatically lower listing inventories. Month over month sales were down from 226 in October.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 129 listings for sale, and about 8.1 months of supply. Oddly, this had one of the mid-pack segments in the county, now it’s on the weak side. The 17 sales for November, 2012 edged the 13 from last year, but and faded compared to the 18 sales last month. But, we had been close to Balanced Market territory here, but have slipped back to Buyer’s Market territory.

From $400k to $600k, there are 12 homes on the market. The absorption rate is around 5.1 months. However, with the level of sales in this segment, a couple of sales added or subtracted can have a HUGE impact. There were 2 sales for November, the Absorption Rate has dropped from 78 months last June, through good, but sporadic sales. This is acting like a luxury market and the A/R is jumping all over the place… with just a few sales (A/R was 33 six months ago). While the long term trend was looking a little better, now it is still pretty choppy.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 4 listings, with about 12 months of supply. As with the next lower priced segment, a couple of sales makes a big difference and there were 0 sales in November. There were only 6 sales at this level in all of 2011, 2 of them were last January. There was 1 sale in January 2012, 1 in May and 1 in October.

Between $800k and $1M, and Above $1M there are 3 homes listed (combined) and not enough sales data to give an accurate absorption rate. Until this month, there had only been one sale in this range in the last 3 years (Aug, 2010), according to FMLS. But, there was 1 sale in July, but none in August. It was over $1M, if that makes a difference…

Lawrenceville is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 22,937 people in Lawrenceville, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County (2008 estimates from the Census Bureau peg population around 29,000). It was incorporated in 1821. Lawrenceville is home to Central Gwinnett High School, and also has students that the Mountain View and Archer clusters. It is also home to Gwinnett Technical College and Georgia Gwinnett College. Another recent addition to Lawrenceville is that it is home to the Gwinnett Braves, playing at the Gwinnett Stadium on GA20 between I-85 and GA316. Possibly the most famous resident of Lawrenceville was Oliver Hardy. As a small boy he lived in Lawrenceville with his parents for a short time. Lawrenceville was also home to Junior Samples. Some of its other residents included Jeff Francouer, Brian McCann and Jennifer Ferrin.

Atlanta Metro Zillow Home Value Index

I have a page dedicated to Lawrenceville Market Data.

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Buford, GA, Market Report, November 2012

Wednesday, 20 February 2013 13:00
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This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...Market stats for Buford, GA, November, 2012 indicate that there were 322 properties on the market, a reduction of 14. Overall, there was about an 4.6 month supply of properties (Absorption Rate or A/R). There were 69 sales for November, down from 76 last month but well up from the 44 sales last Nov11. It isn’t the strongest market in Gwinnett, but the A/R is nothing to sneeze at. It is solidly in Seller’s Market territory.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 147 listings, with a 2.5 month supply. This is the largest price segment in this market area, so strength here usually equals strength across the whole local market area. Sales were down from last month 50 (v 58 last month), and well up compared to last year (30 sales in Nov11). But, the A/R is WAY under the 6 months that would be considered fairly balanced… pointing towards a solid seller’s market.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 134 listings for sale, and about 8.6 months of supply. The 19 sales recorded were up from the 14 last month and from the 11 sales last year for November. This had been one of the weaker segments in the county, but had improved dramatically until this month it was fairly balanced, though slightly tilted towards buyers… now it is back in Buyer’s Market territory.

From $400k to $600k, there were 23 homes on the market. The absorption rate is 9.9 Months. There have been 7 sales in the last 3 months (4 for September, 3 for October and 0 for November). When the market is rolling, there should be 5-7 sales a month during this part of the year. Just for comparison, there were 12 sales in the Sep-Nov period in 2011. This segment has been bouncing all over the place… but it is reasonable right now.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 7 listings. Absorption Rate is (again) 36+ months… but it jumps around a lot. Sales in this range are pretty sporadic, but steady when looking at the long-term. The drop in inventory over the last few months from 14 homes to 7 has made things look less slow… but there were 7 sales in this segment last year including 3 sales in March, 1 in June and 0 in November.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 3 homes listed. Trends are hardly definable. Listings are down. June recorded the first sales since December, 2012. There was 1 sale in November. But it still has a 9.0 month Absorption Rate.

Above $1m, there were 8 properties listed. There was sale in the segment in April… of 2009…and then May, 2011… and 2 sales in June, 2011… also 1 in July and September. There was 1 sale in October, but 0 sales in November. So, we have 12 months of inventory. I hope, but am not expecting, sales to be more consistent.

Buford, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett and Hall Counties. The population is 2000 was 10,668, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census. Buford is home to Lake Lanier, one of Georgia’s premiere recreational areas, and Lake Lanier Islands. Recently, the City of Buford has revamped their old town. It is also home to Buford (Buford City Schools aren’t a part of Gwinnett County Schools), Mill Creek, Mountain View and Lanier High School (Lanier will open for the 2010-11 school year).

I have a page dedicated to Buford Market Data.

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Sugar Hill, GA, Market Report, November 2012

Tuesday, 19 February 2013 11:00
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Market stats for Sugar Hill, GA , November, 2012 indicates that there were 124 homes on the market. An increase of 2 from last month. Overall, there is about an 3.9 month supply (4.1 last month). There were 28 sales, compared to 36 last month and 34 last November. Of course, then there were 173 listings on the market.

For Sugar Hill homes priced under $200k, there were 77 listings, with about 3.1 months supply. There were 22 sales this November, below last year for the same time (29). There were 28 sales last month. Inventories have been fluid, rising and falling. This time of year we often see a slight decrease in listings… but we are already very low. In fact, sales may be stifled by lack of inventory.

Sugar Hill Listings between $200k and $400k, there are 41 listings for sale, and about 6.5 months of supply. Last November there was a 31.5 month supply. There were 2 sales then, this year there were 5. Last month had 7 sales. That makes three of the last five months look reasonably strong.

For listings in the $400k to $600k range, there were 4 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 6.0 months, but with 1 sale this month (and May, August and October single sales being the only others since last November), it is tough to calculate accurately. Obviously, a sale or two could make a BIG difference. I still hope to see some consistent activity in this segment.

In the $600k to $800k, $800k to $1m and Above $1m (combined), the sales are too inconsistent to have a solid read on, but there were only 2 homes listed for sale in that price range. No sales have been recorded in the last 2+ years.

Sugar Hill, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 11,399, but that only included the area inside the city limits. The name comes from a bag of Sugar that spilled on a hill while in transit between Cumming and the railroad in Buford. And while it is actually a big market, it is in the shadows of Lawrenceville, Duluth and Suwanee… which all are nearby. That also makes it a great location, as it is close to everything that Gwinnett County, GA has to offer.

I have a page dedicated to Sugar Hill Market Data.

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Suwanee, GA, Market Report, November 2012

Monday, 18 February 2013 15:00
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Market stats for Suwanee, GA, November, 2012 indicate that there were 332 properties on the market (down from 350 last month). Overall, there was about a 4.2 month supply of properties (virtually unchanged from last month). November had 79 sales. Compared to November, 2011 (53), this year rocked, but inventory was down compared to 2011 (502). There were 82 sales last month, so this month was down a little bit, but nothing like August.

In the Under $200k arena, there were 86 listings in Suwanee, GA, with about a 2.9 month supply (compared to 5 months supply last year). This November’s sales were 24 (26 last year, 33 last month). It used to be a county leader, though, for now it is moving back to one of the best price/locale segments again. The next level up is coming up fast, though. Sales may have been limited by constricted inventory.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 154 listings for sale (235 last year, 157 last month), and 4.1 months of supply. Sales in November, 2012 were 40 (36 in SOctober), compared with 23 for the same period in 2011. Sales have been consistent for the last few months, but have fallen off somewhat for the last three months. I’d like to see it stay around 40 sales or so for the next couple of months. This shouldn’t be a “peaky” market/price segment. Unlike most of the county, this is the largest price segment in the area, and its direction plays a major part in how the area looks.

From $400k to $600k, there were 46 homes on the market. The absorption rate was at 5.6 months (6.4 in October). There were 11 sales in November (8 last month)… way up from 4 last year at this time. Looking at the three month average, there were 25 sales this year and 17 for the same period last year. This segment has become dramatically stronger in the last couple of months.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 23 listings, with about a 13.8 month supply. Sales at this level are not consistent, but there was 1 this month (3 last month). Looking at one month makes the numbers jump around. For the last three months, sales were 5… For the same time last year, the sales were 4. With the huge decrease in listings over the last couple of months, I was looking for this to become one of the strongest $600k-$800k area in the county. It is fairly strong right now… but not where it could be.

The range from $800k to $1m, there are 6 homes listed and 6.0 months of inventory on the market. There were only 4 sales at this price level last year (1 in April, 2 in July and 1 in August). This is a tough segment to try to sell in right now, but if inventory stays low, it won’t be quite as rough. But there still needs to be some more sales activity. There was 1 sale each in March, July, August, September, October and 1 sale in November.

In Suwanee, GA, Above $1m, there are 17 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 12.8 months of inventory, but because of the smaller numbers of sales, this could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales (2 for April, last previously recorded). In this segment, we should be seeing reduced inventories… There were 25 homes listed in this segment at this time last year. There were 2 sales in August and October and 2 sales in November.

Suwanee, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett, Forsyth and (just a little bit) in Fulton Counties. The population is 2000 was 8,725, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census. Money Magazine rated Suwanee in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live” in 2007, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. Recently, the City of Suwanee has revamped their old town, adding a large park with a bandshell, condos, town homes and small businesses. It is also home to North Gwinnett High School, Peachtree Ridge and Collins Hill. I have a page dedicated to Suwanee Market Data.

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