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Category Archives: real estate

Looking for the Gwinnett real estate expert?

I hate to toot my own horn, but if I don’t, I doubt that my competition will…  So, here it goes.

When the AJC needed perspective on Gwinnett real estate…

Their reporter called me.  Apparently, I was inescapable…  I do write monthly market reports, and I don’t pump sunshine…  I tell it like it is.  If it is good, I will say so.  If it isn’t, I will say so.  I do subscribe to the NAR position that all real estate is local, but I don’t try to use that to camouflage a weak market.

Have a link…

Here is a link to the AJC Gwinnett real estate wrap up.  The story is well written, and balanced.  The market here isn’t all sunshine, and the numbers bear that out.  It also isn’t bloodshed… and the numbers bear that out.

Every month I study the numbers.  I look at the news and the trends all of the time and try to glean where the market is heading.  But, more importantly, I try to make sure that I can back up what I am saying.  I hear a lot of people preaching doom and gloom… or preaching that it’s peachy… and they don’t have anything to back it up.

Have another link…

Here is my April/May 2008 market report on my blog.  Here is the report on my website.  Of course, if you are reading this later in the year, you can always find my most recent report on the front page of my website at GarageHomesUSA.  It is usually on a content rotator near the top of the page.  If you don’t see it right away… it should be there in a minute.

Thanks for tuning in.

Video Sunday… Racing in 3 Dimensions

So much racing is done primarily in two dimensions… even if the tracks have elevation changes, it isn’t like the racers are having to account for terrain.

Not so with off-road racing. Rally, desert racing, stadium and short course off-road racing. These each have a lot of terrain that needs to be accounted for in the design of the suspension. None more than desert racing. It might be whoops that are two feet deep, or it might be jumps that send the vehicle 20 feet in the air and 100 feet downrange.


Trophy Trucks and Truggies are amazing, with suspension travel at each corner that is about the same as an entire field of F1 cars. These things might allow as much as 24″ of controlled wheel travel on the race course. They will drive through washboard at 100mph and barely jostle the drivers… and fly with ease… and land with ease.

Thanks for watching.

Talking with a Stager…

I had a Broker Open House today (some call them office caravans or just broker opens), and one of my guests was Angel Walker, a local stager.  I’ve talked with Angel a few times, and she has even written a post on staging for my blog and website, and she is always a pleasure to talk with about real estate.

Read more ...

Automatic Valuation Tools

I just added one to GarageHomesUSA.com today.  They are great for what they are… as long as the limitations are kept in mind.  Here is the direct link.  Feel free to wander over in a moment…

AVTs have become all of the rage in the last couple of years.  Zillow is the big name, but there are other providers.  The basic idea is that one can enter the address of almost any property and get a computer generated valuation.

The great part is that it is easy to quickly find a value for the property.

While looking over a myriad of properties, or thinking of selling a property, getting a baseline estimate is a great idea.  Too many people work off of emotions while trying to value a property for sale… theirs or one they might want to be theirs.

The dark side is the accuracy of the valuation.

It might be dead-on accurate.  It might be off by 20%… or 50%.  It depends on if there are mistakes in the data that is being used for the computer model.  Among the things that could be wrong or missing in the data are:

  • correct square footage.  The computer models are heavily based on square footage.  If the tax records are off on that… for the subject OR the comps… the estimation will be off.
  • condition.  The computer model can’t compare properties based on their condition, because it only sees the prices paid and tax appraisals.
  • recency.  In smaller neighborhoods, there might not be many recent and comparable sales.  That puts the computer in the position of not having enough data to work with.
  • location.  In many neighborhoods, there might be different sections with homes at different ages or styles.  There might also be nearby neighborhoods with similar sized homes that aren’t actually comparable.  The computer models may not be able to properly discriminate actual comps from things that might be largely similar, but only on paper.

Of course, as a real estate professional I’m biased, but it really does take a qualified real estate professional that will actually look at the property, and at the comps.  That means that a real estate agent doing a CMA, or a licensed appraiser doing an Appraisal. Or both…

Look at several data points.  Take off the rose colored glasses and look honestly at the property, size, condition, style, location and any other factors.  Look at the CMA and/or Appraisal.

  • Are the comps really comparable?
  • Are the adjustments reasonable?
  • How does the condition compare?

The idea is to find an honest valuation that is reasonable.  And, if you are listing a property for sale… don’t just automatically list with the agent that tosses out the highest number.  Look at the basis.

So, why did you add the tool to the site?

Simple.  It is a useful tool.  When used properly, it is very effective.  Wrenches aren’t good hammers.  You can certainly pound something with one, but that doesn’t mean it will do the job.

Gwinnett County Market Report, April/May, 2008

Please note – While the market reports serve a vital function, providing info about the local market conditions… they are kind of dry. So, I’m looking for ways to get the info across in a complete, but more entertaining way. This is first in a series of market reports over the next few months exploring better ways to deliver this content.

SlideShare | View

As always, it is difficult to know exactly what is happening in the market now rather than 30-90 days ago. There are a few reasons for that.

  • By the time a property closes, it has been off the market 30 days or more, so even looking at the recently closes transactions we are seeing where the market was a month or more ago.
  • Most transactions take a little while to filter into the system after completion… so we aren’t seeing transactions immediately.
  • It takes a couple of months to identify trends in the market. One month is not a trend… is it a bounce? Is it a recovery? Is it sustainable?

By the time all of these questions are answered, the bottom has come and come, and the best deals are sold. If the absolute bottom of the market in the area was this month, we probably wouldn’t be able to verify that until the first quarter of 2009…

But, I don’t think there is a lot of down left in the market

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