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Tag Archives: investment

Wayback Wednesday… The Price IS Right (or it should be)…

"FOR SALE" - a classified ad in a ne...
Image via Wikipedia

Do you want to actually SELL your house, or just put it up for sale?  I talk with sellers pretty regularly that seem to just want to have their home up for sale…

  • “We want to test the market.”
  • “If we can got our price…”
  • “We aren’t going to give it away.”
  • You get the idea, right?

And this isn’t the market to play around in.  With foreclosures and short sales and unemployment being what they are, this is a bargain hunter’s market.  This isn’t a test market.

Along the same lines are some of the “strategies” I hear regarding pricing.  I wrote this post two years ago, and there are some warnings for buyers, too.

Sellers, price right and don’t play around.

Buyers, when you find one priced right, don’t play around.

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Lane’s Prognostications for 2011…

Real Estate = Big Money
Image by thinkpanama via Flickr

We’ll see how well I peg this.

Lane’s Predictions for 2011…

Looking back over the last year or two in real estate market reports, there are a few things that have been jumping out at me.

  • For over two years I have been hearing about the millions of homes in “Shadow Inventory”.  These are properties in the foreclosure process, or already foreclosed, that the banks are basically sitting on, waiting until “the market improves” before releasing them into the market.  I predict that next year there will STILL be people talking about the coming giant wave of Shadow Inventory. It isn’t that there isn’t a shadow inventory, but that we have dropped from over 10,000 homes on the market in Gwinnett County, GA to around 6,000.  Even for the overall Atlanta Metro area, we have gone from 120,000 homes to under 70,000.
  • The federal government has been borrowing unheard of amounts of money for the last few years.  Much of it has come from China and other foreign investors… but the deficit spending is not coming to an end, while the depth of the investment pool is…  Despite the best attempts of the Fed, Interest Rates ARE going to rise. Currently we are seeing rates under 5%.  I expect that we will be looking at closer to 7% by the end of the year.
  • Looking at the market reports, there are a few things that are VERY obvious.
    • Government Stimulus for the Housing Market only provides a temporary bump… and then it is worse than it was before, but there will be another wave of government intervention I hope I am wrong on this one).
    • The entry level market (under $200k) is well on the way to recovery… and that will continue. We won’t really know it until around September or October because it will be masked by the tax credits in 2010.
    • Meanwhile, it has been a rough ride for the luxury market.  And I don’t think we will see a meaningful recovery in prices for the Luxury Market (above $600k). There is a lot of downward pressure on this segment, and while there are some signs of strength, the best that segment can hope for is stagnation.
    • The “Near Luxury” segment (from $200k-$600k) will be mixed. It is also the market to watch for signs of permanent recovery.  I know that I will be watching the $200k-$400k and $400k-$600k segments to try to glean the health of the overall market.
  • I fully believe that unemployment (or rather employment) is at the center of the struggle in the Housing Market, and not the other way around.  Until the Unemployment rate drops, housing cannot really recover.  I don’t see Unemployment going under 9% during 2011. In fact, unless something changes radically, I don’t think it will even get that close (maybe 9.3%).

I’ll probably have a few more predictions before long…

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Renovation RoI Revisited…

Sectional-type overhead garage doors in the st...
Image via Wikipedia

Just last week I wrote a post highlighting the results of the Remodeling Magazine’s Cost vs. Value study.  And in this month’s Realtor® Magazine, the newest results are published.  The reason I like this particular study is that it breaks down the results by region.  It would be great to break it down further to metro area… and then maybe ZIP code… and possibly subdivision… or even street… but that isn’t happening.  Region is good.

The numbers for the Southeast are interesting. The Top 5 Renovations for Return on Investment (RoI) are:

  • Mid-range entry door (steel) – 135.5%
  • Mid-range garage door – 91.6%
  • Upscale siding (fiber cement) – 85.4%
  • Mid-range basement remodel – 79.4%
  • Upscale windows (vinyl) – 77.9%

There are a few things to note here…  This is based on average costs and conditions.  Obviously, if there are extenuating circumstances, the RoI could be more or less.  If you are able to do work yourself, the RoI could be much greater.  One of the assumptions here is that a contractor would be hired to do all work.

So, let’s look a little deeper…

Mid-range Entry door (steel) – 135.5% The average cost on this renovation is $1098 and the increase in value is $1488.  It is worth noting that a fiberglass door adds more value ($2117), but because of the significantly higher cost ($3348), yields a poorer result (63.2%).  This goes to show that it may be more prudent to NOT splurge.  Much of this is due to “Neighborhood Norms”.  If most of the neighborhood has steel doors, and you add a high end wooden or fiberglass door, you might not get the same result as going to a nice steel door.  That isn’t to say that using a good grade of steel door wouldn’t be wise… powder-coated and rust resistant units will likely maintain their value better than low-bid doors that aren’t quite as nice.

Old wooden door at our former garage.
Image via Wikipedia

Mid-range garage door – 91.6% This is a tough one.  The article suggests that an uninsulated, single wall door without windows could provide the highest RoI.  However, adding windows doesn’t add tremendously to the cost (maybe $200 on to the stated cost of $1178), but might add a little to the projected RoI ($1079).  Insulation and windows come down to preference and usage.  Those of us that use the garage for more than just a place to park a car really like the additional benefit of an insulated door and windows for natural light.

Upscale siding (fiber cement) – 85.4% The cost of this renovation was averaged at $13,106.  That assumed 1250 square feet of siding, and an average amount of trim.  The Added Value for the fiber cement siding came up to $11,197.  Again, we need to look to what is in the neighborhood, and what is on the house.  Changing out wood siding in good condition won’t yield the same result in a neighborhood with brick homes as getting rid of wood siding in bad shape in a neighborhood with lots of homes already upgraded to fiber cement.

Mid-range basement remodel – 79.4% I almost hate to include this one… In my experience, it is rare that a finished basement adds significantly to the value of a home.  It seems that the buyer is always looking for it to be finished differently that the seller has finished it.  However, the existence of a basement DOES add significantly to the value of a home.  The average cost and return from the article are $57,627 and $45,757… which means that you will still be upside-down by almost $12k after doing the renovation.

Upscale windows (vinyl) – 77.9% I was a little surprised about this…  I don’t normally think of vinyl windows on upscale homes, but there it is.  The cost was $12,878 and it added a value of $10,027.  There wasn’t any additional information regarding style or number of windows for the survey, so I can’t comment on that… however, I would assume that the windows would be wood on the inside (stain-grade) with heavy vinyl on the outside.  This would allow for low maintenance while keeping the style of wood inside.  I would also assume that the windows were low E glass and at least double paned.

A couple of important notes…

  • The White House renovation
    Image via Wikipedia

    If you have the capability of doing the work yourself, it can make doing the work financially worthwhile… depending on how much you value your labor.  If it will take 50 hours for you to complete a renovation, and you are saving $500 by doing it yourself, is it worth it for you to “make” $10/hour for your time?

  • Even more that the numbers bear out nationally, in the South Atlantic Region, the renovations that have the best payback all have to do with “Curb Appeal. Doors, windows, siding, garage doors…  The only one that snuck in there that doesn’t belong seems to be the basement.  This goes to show that buyers want to be ‘wowed’ from the moment they step out of the car.  To get sold quickly and for the highest price, curb appeal is key, now more than ever.  You can get down in the gutter and fight it out with the short sales and foreclosures, but many buyers are looking right past those for homes that are “ready to go” rather than “ready to work on”.
  • The biggest change, and one that didn’t make it anywhere on the list, can be had for little money.  The RoI would be off the charts…  Paint. If your walls are dingy, get out the rollers and paint the interior.  Use modern colors and do the job right.  For just a couple hundred dollars in materials, the value of your home can go up by thousands of dollars.  The impact is HUGE.
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Wayback Wednesday… Looking Ahead to 2009…

Fiat 500 (2007)
Image via Wikipedia

Two years ago this week, I posted up my predictions for the next year.  That year would be 2009.  I got a few right, and got a few wrong.  I was just looking back and I was surprised by them… some were pretty bold.

Here is the original post

Here is a quick rundown of how I did…

  1. Right
  2. Rightish
  3. Hit that one
  4. Kind of right…
  5. Not so good on that one
  6. That one was good
  7. Nailed that one
  8. Not so much
  9. Got that one pretty right
  10. Hit that one out of the park…
Rundown Shack OF
Image via Wikipedia

On my “bonus predictions”…

  • Red Wings, yes.  Bruins, no.
  • Islanders, yes.  Thrashers… pretty close.
  • Chrysler… bought by Fiat.
  • Saturn, closed.  Hummer, sold.
  • Toyota had a loss for the year.
  • How’s that Global Warming working out?
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Flashback Friday… Getting the Most for Your Renovation Dollar

FEMA - 125 - Photograph by Dave Gatley taken o...
Image via Wikipedia

Do you know anyone that just likes to throw time, money and energy at a home renovation project, without a care for the value added?  I sure don’t.  In fact, almost everyone I know is looking for ways to maximize the value of the dollars they spend renovating.

Last year, I wrote about a study from the National Association of Realtors® which detailed the average costs and RoI (Return on Investment) for various renovations.  It was even broken down by region.

I’ll give you the spoiler…  Replacing the front door actually is the winner, and by a wide margin.  The correct replacement averages an RoI of 146.8%.  It makes sense, since curb appeal is a major selling point, and first impressions are greatly affected by the front door.

One thing to keep in mind, though…

Renovate to fit your lifestyle and taste…

Don’t ignore resale value, but understand that almost nobody will have exactly the same tastes.  I’m always saddened when I see people renovate their whole house just before putting it on the market.  The $20k, $30k, $50 or more that they sunk into the house becomes worth half or less in resale value.

So, do the work and then live in it to get enjoyment from it.

Updating can be a slightly different story, but I would still counsel not to wait until sale time to get the work done.  Do it, enjoy it and then sell it…

Jump in the Flashback machine and look at the original post…  146.8% RoI for a real Estate Improvement?

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