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Sugar Hill, GA, Market Report, July 2013

Friday, 23 August 2013 22:13
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Market stats for Sugar Hill, GA , July, 2013 indicates that there were 101 homes on the market, up 10 from last month. Overall, there is about an 2.7 month supply (2.7 last month). There were 38 sales, compared to 36 last month and 31 last July. Of course, then there were 139 listings on the market.

For Sugar Hill homes priced under $200k, there were 47 listings, with about 2.4 months supply. There were 19 sales this July, below last year for the same time (23). There were 18 sales last month. Inventories have been fluid, rising and falling. This time of year we often see a slight increase in listings… but we are very low. In fact, sales may be stifled by lack of inventory. Things have been a little choppy, though… up one month, down the next, then back up.

Sugar Hill Listings between $200k and $400k, there are 45 listings for sale, and about 2.7 months of supply. Last July there was a 4.6 month supply. There were 8 sales then, this year there were 18. Last month had 18 sales. This month was gang-busters. We are back in Seller’s Market territory here. Of note, from May, 2012, to June, 2012, the Absorption Rate dropped from 10.5 months of inventory to 5.4. It had spent almost a year above 10… and now has spent over a year below 10.

For listings in the $400k to $600k range, there were 5 homes on the market. The absorption rate was around 5 months, but with 1 sale this month, it is tough to calculate accurately. Obviously, a sale or two could make a BIG difference. I’ve finally started to see some consistency here. Hopefully we’ll have a little more action during the rest of the active selling season.

In the $600k to $800k, $800k to $1m and Above $1m (combined), the sales are too inconsistent to have a solid read on, but there were 5 homes listed for sale in these price ranges. No sales have been recorded in the last 2+ years.

Sugar Hill, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 11,399, but that only included the area inside the city limits. The name comes from a bag of Sugar that spilled on a hill while in transit between Cumming and the railroad in Buford. And while it is actually a big market, it is in the shadows of Lawrenceville, Duluth and Suwanee… which all are nearby. That also makes it a great location, as it is close to everything that Gwinnett County, GA has to offer.

I have a page dedicated to Sugar Hill Market Data.

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Suwanee, GA, Market Report, July, 2013

Monday, 19 August 2013 09:31
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This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...Market stats for Suwanee, GA, July, 2013 indicate that there were 340 properties on the market (down from 357 last month). Overall, there was about a 2.8 month supply of properties (down from 3.3 last month). July had 124 sales. Compared to July, 2012 (99), this year was WAY up, but inventory was down compared to 2012 (439). There were 119 sales last month, so this month was up ever so slightly. The machine has really cranked up over the last three months.

In the Under $200k arena, there were 54 listings in Suwanee, GA, with about a 2.4 month supply (compared to 3.5 months supply last year). This July’s sales were 26 (34 last year, 21 last month). It used to be a county leader, though, for now it is moving back to one of the best price/locale segments again. The next level up is coming up fast, though. Last year at this time, there were 129 listings. Sales are being killed by last year’s, but the way the inventory has dropped, there is a pretty good chance that the low inventory is constricting sales.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 174 listings for sale (191 last year, 190 last month), and 2.4 months of supply. Sales in July, 2013 were 78 (73 in June), compared with 48 for the same period in 2012. Sales have rocked for the last few months. I’d like to see it stay up past 50 sales or so for the next couple of months. This shouldn’t be a “peaky” market/price segment. Unlike most of the county, this is the largest price segment in the area, and its direction plays a major part in how the area looks. Make no mistake, this is still basically in Seller’s Market territory. This is one of a very few areas where the $200k-$400k segment is ahead of the under $200k segment.

From $400k to $600k, there were 60 homes on the market. The absorption rate was at 3.5 months (4.1 in June). There were 17 sales in July (17 last month)… up from 10 last year at this time. Looking at the three month average, there were 51 sales this year and 30 for the same period last year. This segment had become dramatically stronger in the last couple of months.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there are 24 listings, with about a 4.0 month supply. Sales at this level are not consistent, but there were 3 sales this month (7 last month). Looking at one month makes the numbers jump around. For the last three months, sales were 18… For the same time last year, the sales were 15. With the huge decrease in listings over the last couple of months, I was looking for this to become one of the strongest $600k-$800k area in the county. It is fairly strong right now… we’ll have to see if it holds.

The range from $800k to $1m, there are 10 homes listed and 60 months of inventory on the market. There were only 4 sales at this price level in 2011. There were 7 in 2012. This is a tough segment to try to sell in right now, but if inventory stays low, it won’t be quite as rough. But there still needs to be some more sales activity. There was 1 sale in March.

In Suwanee, GA, Above $1m, there are 17 properties listed. The current absorption rate indicated about 17 months of inventory, but because of the smaller numbers of sales, this could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales. In this segment, we should be seeing reduced inventories… There were 26 homes listed in this segment at this time last year. There was 1 sale in June.

Suwanee, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett, Forsyth and (just a little bit) in Fulton Counties. The population is 2000 was 8,725, but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it had seen tremendous growth since that census. Money Magazine rated Suwanee in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live” in 2007, and it is one of the wealthiest parts of Georgia. Recently, the City of Suwanee has revamped their old town, adding a large park with a bandshell, condos, town homes and small businesses. It is also home to North Gwinnett High School, Peachtree Ridge and Collins Hill. I have a page dedicated to Suwanee Market Data.

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Lilburn, GA Market Report, June, 2013

Monday, 12 August 2013 08:45
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This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...Market stats for Lilburn, GA, June, 2013, indicate that there were 202 properties on the market, up 8 from last month. Overall, there was about an 3.9 month supply of properties and 43 properties that closed (sold) in June. It was a huge decrease from last year’s sales (77) and from May’s (61 sales). The Absorption Rate notched down slightly. Lilburn had been among the weakest of Gwinnett County, GA, cities I track. But, at 3.94 months of inventory, it is strong now. Six months is considered balanced, lower is a seller’s market and higher is a buyer’s market.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 121 listings, with about an 3.0 month supply with 32 sales. This represents most of the sales in the market area. Sales were down from last month (51), and down from last year (65). While the Absorption Rate isn’t as low as many other areas, sales are strong, and I’m think we are in a comeback for Lilburn.

Between $200k and $400k, there are 68 listings for sale, and about 6.4 months of supply. This segment had been quite weak for months, and had stalled a little, but came back with a vengeance… only to stall a bit again. There were 11 sales compared to 9 last month and 11 last year. Lilburn has never been seen as a luxury market. The decrease in listings had really helped, but they have started to rise again. I’m still not as confident about this portion of the Lilburn market coming back quite yet… It is strengthening, just not as consistently as I’d like… We are barely back in Buyer’s Market territory.

From $400k to $600k, there are just 12 homes on the market. The absorption rate is 36 months. There was 0 sales in June. Poised for a comeback, but an increase in listings and weak sales don’t give the right ingredients for that to happen. To start with, we can’t have 7 month blank spots in sales (none from Aug11 through Mar12). If we can keep up a sale each month on average, this one will be back. We’re a LONG way from that now.

From $600k to $800k, $800k to $1M and Above $1M, there is 1 listing (combined), but too few sales to have any sort of reliable number of months of inventory. The listing between $800k and $1M, and there is no market activity in the last 12 months for any of those ranges…

Lilburn is in Gwinnett County, GA, just outside of Atlanta. As of the 2000 Census, there were 11,307 people in Lilburn, but that is only including people in the city limits, and there has been a lot of growth since 2000 in Gwinnett County. It was incorporated in 1910. Lilburn is home to Parkview High School, and also has students in the Brookwood, Berkmar and Meadowcreek clusters. It is also home to Killian Hill Christian School, Providence Chrisian Academy, St. John Neumann Catholic School and Parkview Christian School. Possibly the most famous resident of Lilburn is General Beauregard Lee, a groundhog with a better winter prediction record that Puxatawnee Phil up in PA. Dominique Wilkins, formerly of the Atlanta Hawks also lives in Lilburn.

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I have a page dedicated to Lilburn Market Data.

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Norcross, GA, Market Report, June 2013

Friday, 09 August 2013 09:22
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This map shows the incorporated and unincorpor...Market stats for Norcross GA, June, 2013 indicate that there were 158 properties on the market, up 35 from last month. Overall, there is about a 3.4 month supply of properties. The last year has been fairly strong… it hasn’t slowed much, if at all. June saw 48 sales, flat from the 48 last month, but down compared to the 70 for June last year.

In the sub-$200k arena, there were 65 listings, with about 2.6 month supply. Sales are down a little from last month (27) and way down from a year ago in this segment, which is the main driver of sales in this area (24 v 45 – Jun13 v Jun12). For the last two years, the AR has been tilted in favor of sellers. This still looks like one of the strongest price/area segment in Gwinnett County, GA. At a 2.57 month A/R, this is pretty strong for sellers.

Between $200k and $400k, there were 68 listings for sale, and about 4.4 months of supply. This segment had been weakening for the last few months. But, the 20 sales were flat from last year’s 20 sales, and up from last month’s 16 sales. Even though it isn’t as gangbusters as some of the other areas, it is certainly better than the 28 months of inventory we had in December, 2010. I think this is starting to look like a pretty settled market here…

From $400k to $600k, there were 19 homes on the market. The Absorption Rate is around 3.6 months. The AR had been fairly steady all summer, then shot WAY up in September/October. June’s 3 sales were down from the 5 last month and from last year’s 5 sales. This had actually been a pretty good area for homes in this price range to sell… for the last few months.

In the $600k to $800k arena, there were 5 listings on the market. The Absorption Rate is at 7.5 months of inventory… but with only 4 sales in 2010 and 4 sales in 2011, obviously it is easy to bump one way or the other. One reason for the strong looking Absorption Rate last month was that there were so few listings. The was 1 sale for Jun13, 0 for May13 and 0 for Jun12.

The range from $800k to $1m, there were 0 homes listed on the market and 0 sales in June. There were no sales last year. Unfortunately there isn’t enough data for a good A/R number.

Above $1m, there was 1 property listed. But because of the smaller numbers of sales, the absorption rate could be significantly impacted by just a couple of sales. There is simply not enough activity for an A/R figure. The last sale was January 2011.

Norcross, GA is a suburb of Atlanta in Gwinnett County. The population is 2000 was 8,410 but that only included the area inside the city limits, and it has seen tremendous growth since that census. The City of Norcross revamped their old town a long time ago, and it has served as a model for other towns in the area. It is also home to Meadow Creek and Norcross High Schools. One of the things that Norcross is known for locally is the beautiful older homes in the downtown area. They have maintained their historic flair quite successfully.

I have a page dedicated to Norcross Market Data.

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State of the Market for the North Gwinnett HS Area

Wednesday, 07 August 2013 10:04
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Real estate is local… and one of the biggest influences in real estate is the local schools.  Great schools spur demand.  Mediocre schools lag.  People actively seek a way out of bad school districts.  It isn’t the only thing that pushes value and demand, but it certainly is one of the big drivers.

redatacenter image july2013 - NGHSTransportation, jobs and local amenities are also drivers.  Depending on the type of buyers, things like hospitals may pull one demographic, while shopping and restaurants may pull in another.

In the case of the schools in the NGHS cluster (Roberts, Suwanee, Level Creek and Riverside Elementary; North Gwinnett Middle School and North Gwinnett High School), there is a draw from the quality of the schools.  People WANT to be in this area to have access to these schools.

Because of that, we are seeing prices push up and inventories push down.  In fact, when looking at the sales, the recent decreases look to be largely because there simply isn’t enough inventory to support more sales.  So, while at first glance it may look like this area is slowing down, the problem is that there just isn’t any supply to allow a higher number of sales.  The North Gwinnett Cluster consists of parts of Suwanee and a little bit of Sugar Hill.

Since schools are one of the big drivers of demand, MANY consumers search for real estate based on schools.  Unfortunately, there are a lot of homes that are incorrectly entered, causing homes that are NOT in the cluster to land in the search results… and even throwing off the statistics, as homes outside of the correct area are included in statistical samples.

Working with an agent that lives and works in the area you are interested in helps to sort out some of the chaff… but even then I see a lot of agents that have been in the market area a long time kind of “forget” that several new schools opened 3 years ago… and that the alignment and attendance zones changed.  One easy way to tell… any listing with North Gwinnett High School and Lanier Middle School together is wrong… 

If you are interested in a home in the North Gwinnett Cluster, or if you want to sell your home in the North Gwinnett Cluster, give Lane a call…

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